China's Great Wall eyes Fiat Chrysler bid

P R

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Some more news from ANE about FCA spinning off Maserati / Alfa before any merger / sale, to make the core business more sellable...

MILAN -- Fiat Chrysler Automobiles is considering options including a plan to spin off the upscale Maserati and Alfa Romeo brands as well as its components operations, said people familiar with the discussions.

The moves would focus the automaker on mass-market cars to make Fiat Chrysler more attractive for a potential combination with a competitor, said the people who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private.

The luxury-car operations could be worth as much as 7 billion euros ($8.3 billion), while Magneti Marelli and other parts businesses are valued at up to 5 billion euros, analysts estimate.

Under the proposal, Fiat Chrysler intends to keep Jeep to anchor the mass-market car business, which also includes the Dodge and Ram nameplates, the people said. Jeep has attracted interest from China's Great Wall Motor Co., which said on Tuesday that there were "big uncertainties" that it would pursue a transaction.

"With Great Wall expressing a clear interest in all or part of Fiat Chrysler, the focus shifts from earnings to breakup value potential," Exane BNP analysts Dominic O'Brien and Stuart Pearson said in a note Wednesday.

Discussions among executives are progressing, with several options still under consideration, including just separating one or more of the component units, which also include Teksid and Comau, the people said. A final decision may not be made until early 2018 and the timing of carrying out the transactions remains uncertain, they said.

Fiat Chrysler declined to comment.

The plan is also meant to unlock value for the Agnelli family and other shareholders as the company continues to underperform peers, the people said.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates that Fiat Chrysler's businesses are worth about 50 billion euros on their own, double the group's current enterprise value of 24.5 billion euros.

Fiat shares rose as much as 2.4 percent after the news and were up 1.9 percent at 14:03 CET in Milan trading, valuing the company at 17.5 billion euros.

CEO Sergio Marchionne, 65, is preparing his final five-year business plan before he leaves the carmaker in 2019. Separating parts of the group is a familiar tool for the executive. The company spun off truck and tractor maker CNH Industrial NV in 2011 and supercar brand Ferrari in 2016. Combined, the entities now have a market value of $57 billion, compared to about $6 billion in 2004, when Marchionne took charge.

Breakup risks

A breakup strategy carries sizable risks, and Fiat is evaluating those, the people said. Alfa Romeo is in the early stages of its push to become a global luxury-car brand and still needs billions of euros in investment to develop new models to compete with the likes of the BMW and Mercedes-Benz brands. And neither Maserati nor Alfa Romeo have the allure of the Ferrari marque. To offset these hurdles, Fiat may look to secure a partner for its upscale brands, the people said.

The pressure to act is clear. Despite a 34 percent surge this year, Fiat shares are still among the cheapest in the Stoxx 600 Automobiles & Parts index, trading at 4.6 times estimated 12-month earnings compared with the industry average of 7.4 times. Car-parts maker Faurecia, one of Magneti Marelli's competitors, trades at 11.4 times estimated earnings, while BMW is at 7.2 times.

A breakup of Fiat would be another step in the billionaire Agnelli family's plan to wean itself from a dependence on the volatile mass-market car business. Under John Elkann, the clan's chief, Fiat's controlling investor has been seeking to diversify its wealth through its holding company Exor, including expanding its interests in real estate and reinsurance. Elkann has said Exor would be prepared to reduce its 24.5 percent stake in Fiat Chrysler in a deal to create a bigger group.

Intensifying pressure

Marchionne has long been a vocal proponent of consolidation, arguing that the industry wastes money by developing multiple versions of the same technology. Those pressures have only intensified as countries such as the UK and France set a deadline for the end of combustion engines, and self-driving technologies and ride-hailing services threaten to upend the auto industry's traditional business model.

The Fiat CEO acknowledged that deeper changes might be coming when he said last month that the automaker will evaluate whether to spin off some of its businesses. The company is pushing to eliminate 4.2 billion euros in debt by the end of next year.

"Fiat management has very clearly opened the door for potential separation of some of its businesses," Adam Jonas, an analyst with Morgan Stanley, said in a note.


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bigbob

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Me too, it's a design disaster. The off centre rear number plate genuinely upsets me and my OCD.

Where I live there are Discovery 4s everywhere so it will be interesting to see how many upgrade. I won't as the new car has appalling middle row seats, a smaller less convenient sized boot (I carry bikes in the cabin) and the design is such a huge miss it's amazing it got signed off. The loss of the split boot has hacked people off and removed the need for the offset number plate. At least this was fully offset and square last time but the partial offset of a rectangular plate does not work on a back end that is ungainly and does not quite work.

My dealer has offered the new car for demo which they never made any effort with with the old car.....
 

GeoffCapes

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14,000
Where I live there are Discovery 4s everywhere so it will be interesting to see how many upgrade. I won't as the new car has appalling middle row seats, a smaller less convenient sized boot (I carry bikes in the cabin) and the design is such a huge miss it's amazing it got signed off. The loss of the split boot has hacked people off and removed the need for the offset number plate. At least this was fully offset and square last time but the partial offset of a rectangular plate does not work on a back end that is ungainly and does not quite work.

My dealer has offered the new car for demo which they never made any effort with with the old car.....

The Disco 4 looks like the back has just been inflated. Don't like it at all.
Inside is better as you don't have to look at the back.
 

conaero

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34,630
Where I live there are Discovery 4s everywhere so it will be interesting to see how many upgrade. I won't as the new car has appalling middle row seats, a smaller less convenient sized boot (I carry bikes in the cabin) and the design is such a huge miss it's amazing it got signed off. The loss of the split boot has hacked people off and removed the need for the offset number plate. At least this was fully offset and square last time but the partial offset of a rectangular plate does not work on a back end that is ungainly and does not quite work.

My dealer has offered the new car for demo which they never made any effort with with the old car.....

...and then there is the Evoque Cabriolet to add to the mix:

DESIGN-680x450_295-202372_680x450.jpg

range-rover-evoque-convertible-show-rq.jpg
 

MrMickS

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How many will be driven along with the roof up in the blazing sun so as not to mess with the driver's hair?
 

safrane

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Loads of those Barbie SUVs in London and as you say Matt only seen one with the roof down and given how her face already looked like an old leather bag she should have kept it up.
 

bigbob

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8,970
Remember a decade ago when we told that Maseratis' would be sold through Alfa dealerships rather than Ferrari ones? What happened to that? The Morgan Stanley analyst's comment is strange as Alfa seems to have more scale and engineering resources than Maserati at the moment IMHO.

It's always dangerous when a multinational is being run and deals are being structured purely to fit in with the retirement date of the Chairman/CEO etc.
 

P R

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Latest news / views from Monza were...

No Alfa, Maserati spinoff yet

He said the time was not right for a spin-off of Maserati and Alfa Romeo and that the two brands needed to become self-sustainable entities first and "have the muscle to stand on their feet, make sufficient cash".

"The way we see it now, it's almost impossible, if not impossible, to see a spin-off of Alfa Romeo/Maserati, these are two entities that are immature and in a development phase," he said.

"It's the wrong moment, we are not in a condition to do it."

He said the concept of separating the two brands from FCA's mass market business made sense and did not rule out this happening in future, but not under his tenure, which lasts until April 2019.

"If there is an opportunity in future, it would certainly happen after I'm gone. It won't happen while Marchionne is around," he said.