CatmanV2
Member
- Messages
- 48,730
Are you worried yet.
- Thread starter Saigon
- Start date
- Status
2b1ask1
Special case
- Messages
- 20,261
As one of my near miss events involved my youngest grandchild as the 'common factor' I thought it prudent to get tested the other was someone I worked alongside the week before Christmas for a couple of hours outdoors, he got a positive result late Christmas eve so quite a bit of a long shot that one.
Ali355
Member
- Messages
- 74
In other news AZ/ Oxford vaccine approved. NHS England have been planning for it to be available in Jan. It is assumed that there will be 75% uptake, meaning 66.9m doses (of all types of vaccine) needed for everyone who wants it.
The next planning assumption is that we will be able to ramp up the rate of vaccination, and IF this can be increased to the intended rate of 4.5m people per week - in theory it will take less than 15 weeks to complete the estimated 75% of folks who will want it. In practice we will start out at 200-400k people vaccinated per week and accelerate, so it maybe into late spring/early summer before everyone is vaccinated. Either way the most vulnerable will be prioritised first, meaning normality of some form starting to return in the first half of 2021, all being well!
The next planning assumption is that we will be able to ramp up the rate of vaccination, and IF this can be increased to the intended rate of 4.5m people per week - in theory it will take less than 15 weeks to complete the estimated 75% of folks who will want it. In practice we will start out at 200-400k people vaccinated per week and accelerate, so it maybe into late spring/early summer before everyone is vaccinated. Either way the most vulnerable will be prioritised first, meaning normality of some form starting to return in the first half of 2021, all being well!
CatmanV2
Member
- Messages
- 48,730
Do you have anti-radicalisation training? If not, I'm afraid you're not suitable....
(allegedly)
C
philw696
Member
- Messages
- 25,375
Overwhelmed London hospitals forced to treat Covid patients outside
London’s Nightingale hospital remains on standby for use, NHS chiefs have insisted, even though some equipment is being dismantled from the site.
www.standard.co.uk
mjheathcote
Centenary Club
- Messages
- 9,037
I'm amazed we (kirklees/West Yorkshire) have escaped moving up into teir 4.
Although our infection rate is below the national average, our hospital admissions are well up approx 25% over the last week.
Although our infection rate is below the national average, our hospital admissions are well up approx 25% over the last week.
rockits
Member
- Messages
- 9,172
Agreed that people can't stick to simple rules. Had to go to Wickes to get some materials/fixings for a customer job on Bank Holiday Monday. The mother with her two kids in front of me had bought a tin of paint and about 10 small sample paint pots. Why are Wickes not stopping this? Also why do people think that this is OK and an essential journey? There must be tons of this. Several people in the store didn't look like trades to me buying for work or essential journeys or purchases. We were already in Tier 4 at this point.
RobinL
Member
- Messages
- 456
Question: once you have had vaccine what sort of exemption would that give you from continuing swab test?
This is a genuine question as I'm not sure how this would work as the vaccine will never be 100% and I've not seen confirmation yet that it breaks the carrier chain?
So it is likely that even having the vaccine would not change much? At least initially?
If we vaccinate those most at risk, e.g. elderly and front line will we see a reduction in infection rates? As these groups are taking most precautions in any case then it will take a while for the vaccine to show a reduction in infections.
And as infection rate is the only 'guide' the government use for lockdowns then there will likely be a huge lag in vaccine advantage?
Or am I just wrong in thinking this?
Sent from my ONEPLUS A5010 using Tapatalk
Wack61
Member
- Messages
- 8,787
Is it all still about not overwhelming the NHS, because from what I read that boat has sailed, surely there has to come a point where it's about survival of the fittest, they can't save everyone but they're filling beds trying.
I read a tragic story in Facebook today , a guys dad had a heart attack , no beds at the local hospital so they choppered him to another one but he died in the helicopter.
CatmanV2
Member
- Messages
- 48,730
That kind of thing happens anyway. Without knowing how frequently it happens with vs without CV it's a pretty pointless comparison (BTW not aimed at you Darren, just an observation of reporting.
Without comparative data it's very hard to know if the current situation is better, worse or otherwise compared to a normal winter. My gut feeling is that it's worse, but that's just my gut (and no offence to those that are involved in front line medical care who are likely to add in with their opinions)
My point was more about that it would be unusual should a vaccine not provide a significant protection against being infectious as well but the official line seems to steer well away from that as a stance.
C
Without comparative data it's very hard to know if the current situation is better, worse or otherwise compared to a normal winter. My gut feeling is that it's worse, but that's just my gut (and no offence to those that are involved in front line medical care who are likely to add in with their opinions)
My point was more about that it would be unusual should a vaccine not provide a significant protection against being infectious as well but the official line seems to steer well away from that as a stance.
C
- Status