Lol. Hamilton is the reason why Russell wasn't in the Merc this year. He does not relish being pushed and actually places obstacles in the way of that these days. His hesitancy to re-sign last year caused Merc to look to the future, that's why he didn't hesiate this year.
It's Russell to Merc
Bottas to Alfa Romeo
Nyck de Vries to Alfa Romeo
Giovanazzi looking for a seat
Alex Albon to Williams
The rest stay as they are for next year most likely although I think Mazepin and Yuki are in danger but will still likely stay as is.
Merc
Hamilton Russell
Red Bull
Verstappen Perez
Ferrari
Leclerc Sainz
McLaren
Norris Ricciardo
Alpine
Alonso Ocon
Aston Martin
Vettel Stroll
Alfa Romeo
Bottas De Vries
Williams
Albon Latifi
Haas
Schumacher Mazepin
Alpha Tauri
Gasly Tsunoda
Nothing new in a champion wanting to control the team dynamic. Michael Schumacher did it at Ferrari as did Alonso, Vettel was protected by Red Bull from Webber until the point when he wasn't with Ricciardo and so left.
I don't think Hamilton or Russell will be affected if their relationship is distant. I don't see a Prost/Senna, Hamilton/Alonso or Hamilton/Rosberg situation arising as a result.
Ricciardo has fled the scene from Red Bull and Renault and I am not sure where he goes now given Norris is clearly so much faster than him. It's not the fact this is his first year in the car, but how little he has closed the gap.
I think it is a shame for both McLaren and Sainz that he chose to move to Ferrari but plenty of drivers have been tempted by the Prancing House only to squander their careers in hindsight. But maybe Norris needed to lose the bromance to move on himself. He looks a lot more ruthless with Sainz gone.
A return for Albon seems reasonable but why not back to Alpha Tauri in place of Tsunoda rather than lose him from the Red Bull programme altogether?
I think Mazepin is safe because of the money and who would want that seat that much that they would pay even more for it?
Mick Schumacher to Alfa Romeo seems no longer a possibility if the move from Ferrari to Mercedes engines is confirmed.
Agree that Giovinazzi may be gone in any shuffle of the pack despite the usual wisdom that you should not replace both drivers at the same time.